These stats come from CGA Strategy, or someone like that. Where do they get their figures from. Where DO the figures for pub closures come from? Who is out there with a clip board counting all those pubs closing all over the country, all the time?
No one. That's who.
The figures, like pretty much everything else reported about the pub sector, come largely out of thin air (I do hope someone can prove me wrong on this).
Intuition, common sense and anecdotal information from my inbox filling up with pubs for sale via commercial agents tells me 18 is a rather modest underestimate. Today 16 pubs in my email. I don't recall seeing any of them before. I have a feeling that agents have stopped saying 'New to Market' because it's too easy to notice the trickle is actually a hemorrhage.
My hunch and judgement can't be trusted, I know, as I'm infected with a virulent strain of 'Just Can't Believe the Bullshit I'm Being Sprayed With' but still. 16 in one day against 18 in a week? And I've been noticing these sort of anomalies and posting these kind of observations about the official closure figures for how long? Few years. It's not right.
Where do the figures come from?
They come from the pubco's, collated by someone else like BBPA, trawled by analysts / market followers and released as 'official' in reports by CAMRA etc. If not. Where else does the raw data come from? I'm in no way suggesting that CAMRA are part of the problem - they have to get their figures from somewhere. Live everyone. The only people in control of the figures, really, are the pubco's making disposals. Incidentally. Mentioning CAMRA is not to include them in the scam. We all are victim we have to get our figures from somewhere. And the only people who know are the pubco's making the disposals.